A couple of weeks ago I attended a weather lecture at the White Mountain Research Center in Bishop. The talk was given by a scientist from the Reno NOAA office.

He said that the NOAA winter prediction for this coming winter is "leaning toward" (those were his words) an average to slightly above average snow fall for the Sierras.

What was mildly surprising is that the best weather forecasts are only good out to about 3 - 5 days, and even then, conditions sometime change without notice. In spite of the best current technology that is the best they can do. The speaker said that in about ten years, as technology improves, the NOAA might be about to produce a reasonable forecast out to about ten days.

So...the lesson to back country travelers is: BE PREPARED!


Last edited by Bob West; 11/15/17 03:17 PM.