We brought our then-11-year-old nephew out to California for a two-week sight-seeing vacation in late June 1998, which was a major El Nino year, evidenced by the fact that Tioga Road was still closed at the very end of June (it didn't open that year until July 1 -- see
Tioga Road, Glacier Point Road, etc. opening and closing dates since 1980).
Out of pure curiosity, I looked up historical El Nino years and found the following of interest:
- They seem to occur in two-year periods (i.e., 1997-98)
- Recent major El Nino events were 1982-83 and 1997-98
- The 1997-98 event was the strongest ever recorded
- The second year of a two-year period for stronger El Ninos seems to correlate with later-than-normal Tioga Road summer openings (i.e., June 29 in 1983 for the 1982-83 event, June 30 in 1995 for the 1994-95 event, and most notably, July 1 in 1998 for the 1997-98 event)
- However, this does not seem to hold true for lesser El Nino events (i.e., May 2 in 1987 for the 1986-87 event, May 15 in 1992 for 1991-1992 event, May 31 in 2003 for the 2002-2003 event, and May 11 for the 2006-2007 event)
CaT